Polymarket Trader

Betmennezhoker

0x4c70947f862f83590c7084ac900736cea7e3f74d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $354.55
Win rate: 54.2%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.25K
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.03K
Potential profit: $2.03K
User PnL: -$18.92

No position

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $1.55K
User PnL: -$13

No position

Claude 4.8 released by May 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$15.76

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $1.24K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $836.04
Potential profit: $836.04
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $486.36
Potential profit: $486.36
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $445.53
Potential profit: $445.53
User PnL: -$14.5

Yes position

Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $287.93
Potential profit: $287.93
User PnL: -$5.47

No position

Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $262.73
Potential profit: $262.73
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $258.82
Potential profit: $258.82
User PnL: -$3

No position

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $257.27
Potential profit: $257.27
User PnL: -$26

paiN Gaming position

LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $221.67
Potential profit: $221.67
User PnL: -$3.3

Yes position

Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will KaBuM! IDL win CD 2026 Split 1?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $171.61
Potential profit: $171.61
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $157.3
Potential profit: $157.3
User PnL: -$9.04

Yes position

Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 23 and May 29?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.25
Potential profit: $156.25
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $146.08
Potential profit: $146.08
User PnL: -$7.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $143.25
Potential profit: $143.25
User PnL: -$39.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.89
Potential profit: $81.89
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.7
Potential profit: $59.7
User PnL: -$3.82

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $164.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.8

No position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.56

No position

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.46

Team WE position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.76

Yes position

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.84

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.11

No position

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.85

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 10.7% 46.81 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 2.5% 40 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 24% 41.67 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 23% 47.1 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 29% 47.1 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 35% 41.78 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 37% 41.78 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 54% 179.1 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 0.5% 800 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 31% 13.48 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 36% 192.58 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 27% 274.03 shares