Yes position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $22.72
- Potential payout
- $77
- Potential profit
- $54.29
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $5.56
Polymarket Trader
0x4c73...6359
0x4c735242f2e792c7f0ad57f07ecd38ca33696359
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $90.05
- Realized PnL
- -$1.55
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $46.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $3.75
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $21.25
Yes position
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $12.03
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.19
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $7.16
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $0.84
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $1.16
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $5.85
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Yes position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $5.71
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $4.65
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $1.35
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.07
Yes position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.05
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $4.9
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.1%
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.47x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
No position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 66%
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.89
Yes position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$6.93
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?No 81% 6 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 16% 7 shares
- Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?No 96.6% 5 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 90% 8 shares
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Yes 33.9% 8 shares
- China coup attempt before 2027?No 97.2% 5 shares
- Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 24% 5 shares
- Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 5% 22 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No 93.9% 5 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No 24.8% 6 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 75.2% 6 shares
- China coup attempt before 2027?No 94.4% 5 shares