Polymarket Trader

0x4c76e87aD8BB63F770a1bE7e570005884e1dfe11-1774599112988

0x4c76e87ad8bb63f770a1be7e570005884e1dfe11

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $91.99
Realized PnL: $231.23
Win rate: 91.7%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $25.88
Potential payout: $26.16
Potential profit: $0.27
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.14

No position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $13.03
Potential payout: $24.35
Potential profit: $11.32
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$1.83

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $12.85
Potential payout: $23.58
Potential profit: $10.73
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $2.95

Algeria position

Spread: Algeria (-1.5)

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $18.82
Potential profit: $16.84
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$5.17

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $7.8
Potential payout: $16.6
Potential profit: $8.8
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $1.82
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $9.19
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $6.14
Potential payout: $10.68
Potential profit: $4.54
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $3.76
Potential payout: $8.45
Potential profit: $4.69
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $4.88
Potential payout: $8.13
Potential profit: $3.25
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $1.72
Potential payout: $6.5
Potential profit: $4.78
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $4.97
Potential payout: $6.41
Potential profit: $1.44
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.26

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $1.16
Potential payout: $2.7
Potential profit: $1.54
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: -$0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump post "Baby" on Truth Social this week?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.2

No position

Will Zelenskyy post 180-199 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.34

No position

Will SOFR hit 3.76% (High) between March 1 and March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.5

Under position

Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.29

No position

Will Trump say "Dark cloud" this week? (April 5)

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Over position

Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.68

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.9

No position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.5

Over position

Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.39

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.74

Sweden position

Spread: Sweden (-1.5)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.57

No position

Will "Palantir" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.3

Yes position

Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.65

No position

Will the Rolex Index hit $11,750 (LOW) by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.38

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.38

Yes position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in May?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4

Yes position

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.73

No position

Will Japan’s February 2026 unemployment rate be 2.8%?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.96

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.84

No position

Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 75.8%
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$0.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spread: Norway (-1.5)

Norway 22% 31.5 shares
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Yes 17% 11 shares
France vs. Iraq: O/U 5.5

Over 19% 36 shares
Spread: Algeria (-1.5)

Algeria 38% 18.82 shares
France vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5

Over 33% 21.82 shares
France vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score

Yes 35% 20.57 shares
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Yes 61% 8.13 shares
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5

Under 28% 24.11 shares
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5

Under 23% 27.65 shares
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?

No 78% 6.41 shares
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score

No 43% 16.44 shares
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Yes 44% 2.7 shares