Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $271.47K
- Potential payout
- $271.6K
- Potential profit
- $135.8
- User PnL
- $167.51K
Polymarket Trader
defillama7
0x4c8cdcdd4c92bf44e74a642254f7414de14de36f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $436.97K
- Realized PnL
- $24.46K
- Win rate
- 77.8%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $93.05K
- Potential profit
- $93.05K
- User PnL
- -$13.03K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $81.46K
- Potential payout
- $81.58K
- Potential profit
- $122.37
- User PnL
- $13.63K
No position
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.31K
- Potential profit
- $62.31K
- User PnL
- -$29.15K
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $49.5K
- Potential payout
- $49.8K
- Potential profit
- $298.8
- User PnL
- $7.3K
Yes position
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.71K
- Potential profit
- $36.71K
- User PnL
- -$17.35K
Yes position
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $13.27K
- Potential payout
- $21.58K
- Potential profit
- $8.31K
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $971.28
Yes position
Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.2%
- Current value
- $5.95K
- Potential payout
- $11.39K
- Potential profit
- $5.45K
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $449.99
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $10.28K
- Potential payout
- $10.45K
- Potential profit
- $167.22
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.13K
Yes position
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.81K
- Potential profit
- $4.81K
- User PnL
- -$1.28K
No position
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $3.39K
- Potential payout
- $4.11K
- Potential profit
- $719.72
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $459.62
No position
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.48K
- Potential profit
- $3.48K
- User PnL
- -$904.66
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $1.58K
- Potential payout
- $1.78K
- Potential profit
- $205.1
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $370.26
Yes position
Will Shenna Bellows win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.1%
- Current value
- $63.15
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $236.85
- Multiplier
- 4.75x
- User PnL
- $3.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $9.78K
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.05K
No position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.78K
No position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.68K
Yes position
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
No position
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $958.19
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.89
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 82% 992.1 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 82.5% 2,485.49 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 84% 6,320.37 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 83.8% 40 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 83.9% 11,419.61 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 80.6% 2,362.97 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 80.2% 12,130.64 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 16.6% 8,696.87 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 16.3% 1,317.64 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 78% 200 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 77.5% 235.48 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 77% 972.91 shares