Polymarket Trader

0x4c8eD7EAd1ac18338f816e964B1EDdE8A50eb38F-1765646249727

0x4c8ed7ead1ac18338f816e964b1edde8a50eb38f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $168.58
Realized PnL: $11.06K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.18K
Potential profit: $5.18K
User PnL: -$57.48

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.08K
Potential profit: $5.08K
User PnL: -$10.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.8K
Potential profit: $4.8K
User PnL: -$14.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.78K
Potential profit: $3.78K
User PnL: -$5.91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.6K
Potential profit: $3.6K
User PnL: -$6.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.12K
Potential profit: $3.12K
User PnL: -$8.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.02K
Potential profit: $3.02K
User PnL: -$9.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.24K
Potential profit: $2.24K
User PnL: -$7.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $2.2K
User PnL: -$5.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.94K
Potential profit: $1.94K
User PnL: -$12.41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.87K
Potential profit: $1.87K
User PnL: -$50.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.71K
Potential profit: $1.71K
User PnL: -$4.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $1.58K
User PnL: -$3.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $1.37K
User PnL: -$5.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $1.35K
User PnL: -$18.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $1.35K
User PnL: -$3.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $1.34K
User PnL: -$61.84

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $1.31K
User PnL: -$498.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.27K
Potential profit: $1.27K
User PnL: -$9.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $1.23K
User PnL: -$28.87

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $1.23K
User PnL: -$19.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $1.23K
User PnL: -$6.38

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $168.58
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $1.05K
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$24.12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $802.11

No position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $780.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $740.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $502.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $455.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $446.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $442.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $408.42

No position

Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $390.69

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $373.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $360.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $346.08

No position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $314.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $309.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $274.9

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $270.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $254.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $249.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $234.98

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Cavaliers

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $233.33

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $231.36

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 25?

Yes 66% 5 shares
Plovdiv: Eero Vasa vs Ognjen Milic

Eero Vasa 20.7% 16.66 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?

Yes 12% 6.25 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?

Yes 12% 6.25 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?

Yes 12% 101.62 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?

Yes 12% 6.25 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?

Yes 12% 10.31 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?

Yes 12% 6.25 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?

Yes 12% 10.31 shares
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Joanna Garland vs Tyra Caterina Grant

Tyra Caterina Grant 65% 6.74 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?

Yes 12% 10.31 shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 25?

No 49% 5 shares