Polymarket Trader

bafuf

@renjuan77

0x4c9ef5aa21840180f0dacaeed6ab8d1978658a70

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.1K
Realized PnL: $1.54K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $437.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $62.5
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $35.5

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.4%
Current value: $85.4
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $314.6
Multiplier: 4.68x
User PnL: $23.8

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Current value: $374.8
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $25.2
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $46.8

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $26.15
Potential payout: $210
Potential profit: $183.86
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: -$7.59

Yes position

Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.78
Potential profit: $200.78
User PnL: -$118

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $50
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $150
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $25
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $175
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $29.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $70.5
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$16.5

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $22.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $77.5
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$15.5

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $40.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $59.5
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$9.5

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$16.55

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.2%
Current value: $11.45
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $18.56
Multiplier: 2.62x
User PnL: $1.18

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.3
Potential profit: $28.3
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Uzbekistan?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Ghana?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $22.22
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Uzbekistan?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.75
Potential profit: $18.75
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Uzbekistan?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.65
Potential profit: $17.65
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $282.54

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192

Yes position

Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.03

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92

No position

Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86

No position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.5

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $55.84

No position

Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55

Miami Hurricanes position

Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-1.5)

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.76

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.4

No position

Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

No position

Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.4

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.2

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 53 and 56 million views on day 2?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $26

Yes position

US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.51

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.98

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18

No position

XRP all time high by March 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.5

No position

Will Solana hit $300 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

No position

Will Solana reach $300 in September?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.44

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 8% 20 shares
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Yes 34% 10 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.8% 200 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 31% 200 shares
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Ghana?

Yes 9% 22.22 shares
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Uzbekistan?

Yes 16% 18.75 shares
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Uzbekistan?

Yes 8% 25 shares
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Uzbekistan?

Yes 17% 17.65 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 34.2% 30 shares
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 60% 10 shares
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Yes 13% 10 shares
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 4% 10 shares