Polymarket Trader

hinkalstandard

0x4ca0eabfd154448795bf1ffc4c12b1eea3e2d272

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $288.45
Realized PnL: $806.02
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $173
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $27
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $22.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $77.05
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $4.75

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $10.25
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $89.75
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$1.15

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $5.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $94.35
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$3.45

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $5.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $94.95
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $1.65

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $3.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $96.35
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$1.45

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.3%
Current value: $21.25
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $78.74
Multiplier: 4.71x
User PnL: $12.75

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.7%
Current value: $10.65
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $89.34
Multiplier: 9.39x
User PnL: -$6.05

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $5.25
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $94.74
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$2.85

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $30.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $19.25
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $5.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $236.5

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $206.25

Yes position

Will Spirit win PGL Astana 2026?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.28

Yes position

Will Navi win IEM Atlanta 2026?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.6

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Over position

Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.44

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17

Argentina position

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.75

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.1

Over position

Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.5

France position

Spread: France (-2.5)

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.9

Astralis position

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.8

Over position

France vs. Iraq: France O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.6

Portugal position

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.3

Morocco position

Spread: Morocco (-1.5)

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.25

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.5

Panama position

Spread: Croatia (-1.5)

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.1

3DMAX position

Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.3

FUT Esports position

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.6

Astralis position

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.7

No position

Will G2 win IEM Rio 2026?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.55

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 62.1% 44.36 shares
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5

Over 54% 25 shares
Spread: England (-1.5)

England 63% 20 shares
Spread: France (-2.5)

France 91% 30 shares
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

Argentina 41% 25 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 71% 50 shares
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)

Uruguay 44% 25 shares
Spread: Germany (-1.5)

Germany 42% 100 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 69% 42.26 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?

Yes 67.7% 199.99 shares
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A

Team Falcons 66% 51.3 shares
Will Falcons win PGL Astana 2026?

Yes 51.6% 90 shares