Polymarket Trader

0x4ca4804018AF8fFD819410516A335FAEB6c5C467-1765019682709

0x4ca4804018af8ffd819410516a335faeb6c5c467

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.64
Realized PnL: $2.53K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$84.11

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$250.84

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $52,000 on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $52,000 and $54,000 on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $70,000 on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $982.8
Potential profit: $982.8
User PnL: -$24.27

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $896.77
Potential profit: $896.77
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $732.82
Potential profit: $732.82
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600.55
Potential profit: $600.55
User PnL: -$231

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $586.77
Potential profit: $586.77
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $566.67
Potential profit: $566.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $2.64
Potential payout: $528.27
Potential profit: $525.63
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$43.36

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $525.01
Potential profit: $525.01
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $523.43
Potential profit: $523.43
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $508.3
Potential profit: $508.3
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500.01
Potential profit: $500.01
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500.01
Potential profit: $500.01
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $994.65

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $271.87

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.86

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.5

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 23.8%
Multiplier: 4.21x
User PnL: $112.99

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $99.06

Yes position

Maduro out by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.91

Yes position

Maduro out by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.51

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.86

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.46

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.97

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 4PM ET

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.22

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on December 7?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.25

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.46

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 1PM ET

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.77

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 2PM ET

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 9AM ET

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.51

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 12.2%
Multiplier: 8.23x
User PnL: $15.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 5PM ET

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5PM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.84

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?

Yes 6.1% 32.79 shares
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting?

Yes 1.9% 52.63 shares
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting?

Yes 0.6% 166.67 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 25?

Yes 31% 100 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 21?

Yes 47.1% 106.15 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 21?

Yes 45.5% 10 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 21?

Yes 50% 40 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 20?

Yes 0.2% 250 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 20?

Yes 0.2% 599.99 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 21?

Yes 3.2% 31.25 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 21?

Yes 2% 100 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 20?

Yes 0.9% 107.26 shares