Polymarket Trader

marbon

0x4cadaef992fa352b2e30d284badf8371adea91c5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $27.5
Realized PnL: $476.88
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $5.63
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $0.63

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 3 Morocco?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.24
Potential profit: $95.24
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $21.87
Potential payout: $64.33
Potential profit: $42.46
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: $2.87

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.59
Potential profit: $54.59
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.28
Potential profit: $51.28
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.39
Potential profit: $48.39
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$5

Morocco position

Spread: Morocco (-1.5)

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.75
Potential profit: $43.75
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Austria?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$10

Japan position

Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$10

Croatia position

Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.06
Potential profit: $33.06
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $30.3
User PnL: -$1

Spain position

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$15

Portugal position

Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Exact Score: Germany 0 - 1 Paraguay?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.46
Potential profit: $26.46
User PnL: -$5

Croatia position

Spread: Croatia (-1.5)

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.19
Potential profit: $26.19
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.93
Potential profit: $25.93
User PnL: -$7

United States position

United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.93
Potential profit: $25.93
User PnL: -$14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98

Yes position

Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.25

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.13

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.84

Yes position

Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 0 IR Iran?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.86

Yes position

Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.93

Senegal position

Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.85

Yes position

Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.74

Yes position

Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Japan?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.18

Knicks position

Spread: Spurs (-5.5)

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.49

Yes position

Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.26

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.03

Yes position

Exact Score: Panama 0 - 2 England?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.29

No position

Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.26

United States position

Spread: United States (-1.5)

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.22

Norway position

Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.82

France position

Spread: France (-2.5)

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.79

Over position

Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.43

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.37

England position

England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.25

Yes position

Switzerland leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.25

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.03

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.63

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

Over 47% 10.64 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in July?

Yes 29.5% 64.33 shares
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

England 85.5% 20.28 shares
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5

Over 8.7% 11.43 shares
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5

Over 72.2% 9.69 shares
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

England 69% 20.29 shares
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $328 in July?

No 47% 10.64 shares
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 in July?

Yes 82% 6.1 shares
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in July?

No 53% 9.43 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 36.8% 26.84 shares
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?

Yes 27% 14.81 shares
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?

Yes 25.7% 58.25 shares