Polymarket Trader

0x4CAf899a8cf0C4DE7EBF20D4b9dCdBE8BEc58128-1781467585348

0x4caf899a8cf0c4de7ebf20d4b9dcdbe8bec58128

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $38.69
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Mojtaba Khamenei in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $25.41
Potential profit: $24.77
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$1.35

No position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.28
Potential profit: $21.28
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $2.59
Potential payout: $20.62
Potential profit: $18.03
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $0.59

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.97
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.1
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $18.16
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $1.32
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $17.2
Multiplier: 14.01x
User PnL: -$0.68

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $2.51
Potential payout: $18.4
Potential profit: $15.89
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$0.49

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.7%
Current value: $3.59
Potential payout: $18.29
Potential profit: $14.7
Multiplier: 5.09x
User PnL: $0.59

Yes position

Will Starmer say "Urgent" during the next PMQ?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $6.42
Potential payout: $17.59
Potential profit: $11.17
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $1.42

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $6.11
Potential payout: $16.73
Potential profit: $10.62
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.65
Potential profit: $14.65
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $5.93
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $8.36
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.89
Potential profit: $13.89
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.79
Potential profit: $13.79
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $1.45
Potential payout: $13.79
Potential profit: $12.34
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$2.55

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.38
Potential profit: $9.38
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Starmer say "Deep" or "Deeply" during the next PMQ?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $1.95
Potential payout: $6.41
Potential profit: $4.45
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next PMQ?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $0.91
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $5.34
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Starmer say "Europe" during the next PMQ?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $1.27
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $2.58
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $0.27

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Ciryl Gane win by KO or TKO?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Justin Gaethje position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.2% 19.23 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.7% 20.62 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.8% 18.52 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.3% 18.4 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.4% 18.29 shares
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Yes 24% 4.17 shares
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 16% 9.38 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes 10% 20 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Yes 5% 20 shares
Will Starmer say "Europe" during the next PMQ?

Yes 26% 3.85 shares
Will Starmer say "Urgent" during the next PMQ?

Yes 28.3% 7.07 shares
Will Starmer say "Deep" or "Deeply" during the next PMQ?

Yes 31.2% 6.41 shares