No position
ECB rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.58K
- Potential profit
- $1.58K
- User PnL
- -$295.45
Polymarket Trader
NFspec
0x4cb87641fc8e649fafe728d536785b5d26c0e737
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $340.26
- Realized PnL
- -$30.42
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $80.99
- Potential payout
- $623
- Potential profit
- $542.01
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$18.84
No position
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $223.55
- Potential payout
- $354.84
- Potential profit
- $131.29
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $113.55
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $22.23
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $327.78
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- -$16.28
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Thunder
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $206.67
- Potential profit
- $206.67
- User PnL
- -$31
Yes position
ECB rate cut in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $13.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $86.5
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$6.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.8
Yes position
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.89
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.66
No position
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.83
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.73
Yes position
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.25
Yes position
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- $10.46
Yes position
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.1%
- Multiplier
- 12.35x
- User PnL
- -$1.92
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.12
Yes position
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.5
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.06
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$22.22
Yes position
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$63.45
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$181.12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- ECB rate hike in 2026?No 10% 244 shares
- Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Yes 20.5% 100 shares
- Bank of England rate hike in 2026?No 31% 354.84 shares
- Lakers vs. ThunderLakers 15% 206.67 shares
- Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Yes 12% 250 shares
- Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Yes 11% 253 shares
- ECB rate hike in 2026?No 7% 73.42 shares
- ECB rate hike in 2026?No 10% 350 shares
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 2.9% 9,084.84 shares
- ECB rate hike in 2026?No 29% 8.63 shares
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 2.5% 40.44 shares
- Bank of England rate hike in 2026?No 61.6% 490.49 shares