No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4
Polymarket Trader
Bitcoin-man
0x4cbb727cbc39a41b17db8783ccd6f3a01276d66f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- -$14.19
- Win rate
- 20%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Ben Pasternak jailed?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.59
The Devil Wears Prada 2 position
The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Ben Pasternak jailed?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.59
The Devil Wears Prada 2 position
The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?Yes 9% 20 shares
- Ben Pasternak jailed?Yes 9.3% 80 shares
- Ben Pasternak jailed?Yes 15% 20 shares
- Ben Pasternak jailed?Yes 15% 60 shares
- Ben Pasternak jailed?Yes 16% 20 shares
- The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box OfficeThe Devil Wears Prada 2 7% 50 shares
- Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Yes 7% 20 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No 11% 199.99 shares