Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $1.48K
- Potential payout
- $27.32K
- Potential profit
- $25.84K
- Multiplier
- 18.52x
- User PnL
- $246.25
Polymarket Trader
0x4cD43223be54Aac69Bac8fF582408BfCeaDD79cc-1775403526128
0x4cd43223be54aac69bac8ff582408bfceadd79cc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.06K
- Realized PnL
- $1.06K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Current value
- $587.81
- Potential payout
- $3.78K
- Potential profit
- $3.19K
- Multiplier
- 6.43x
- User PnL
- $83.81
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $704.25
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $301.09
Yes position
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes 4.5% 16,721.55 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 74.1% 1,056.23 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes 4.5% 10,597.31 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 38% 1,293.41 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 13.3% 3,780.11 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 41.4% 2,349.65 shares
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?Yes 99.9% 51.15 shares
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?Yes 65% 190 shares
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?Yes 49% 241.15 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes 3% 22,131.81 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes 7.7% 6,500 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes 6.9% 15,000 shares