Polymarket Trader

sdfasfddd

0x4cd4554904388f7efe1f95bb0eba3dd507c38a5c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $16.91
Realized PnL: $335.77
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $5.68
Potential profit: $5.28
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.69
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $2.38
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.63
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $3.53
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.48
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.18
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$1.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 28°C on July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $1.6
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.4
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 22.7%
Current value: $1.14
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.87
Multiplier: 4.41x
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.98
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $0.68
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.33
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.97
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.96
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $2.55
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.45
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: -$1.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.94
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.98
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.97
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.99
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.81
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.13
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.98
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.99
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.92
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$0.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.88
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: $0.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $23.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 22.7%
Multiplier: 4.42x
User PnL: $23.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: $19.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8AM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.66

Up position

XRP Up or Down - July 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $12.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.78

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Up 54% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Up 58% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Up 60% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Up 66% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Up 30% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Up 86% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Up 64% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Down 57% 4.98 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Down 38% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5PM ET

Down 46% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Up 51% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Down 50% 5 shares