Polymarket Trader

alerso

0x4cdd5baf6091a837fcdb54da35b23f93a8484898

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $9.11
Realized PnL: $1.17K
Win rate: 54.5%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270.27
Potential profit: $270.27
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Exact Score: IR Iran 0 - 0 New Zealand?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.27
Potential profit: $227.27
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $9.11
Potential payout: $161.29
Potential profit: $152.18
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$0.89

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 0 - 2 Uruguay?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $93.75
Potential profit: $93.75
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goals

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.61
Potential profit: $60.61
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 0 New Zealand?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.15
Potential profit: $46.15
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.84
Potential profit: $36.84
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.9
Potential profit: $32.9
User PnL: -$6.25

Yes position

Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 0 - 1 Uruguay?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$5.7

Yes position

Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.26
Potential profit: $23.26
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 8, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.27
Potential profit: $14.27
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.16
Potential profit: $13.16
User PnL: -$10

Tails position

Big Game: Coin Toss

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $8
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.97
Potential profit: $4.97
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $4.76
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will "DtMF" be played last at the Super Bowl halftime show?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $2.94
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will LA MUDANZA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.61
Potential profit: $1.61
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $980.15

Yes position

Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.83

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.19

Yes position

Lionel Messi: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.88

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.82

Over position

Seahawks Team Total: O/U 17.5

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 99.7% 4,012.04 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 65% 92.31 shares
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 91% 217.39 shares
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 23% 217.39 shares
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?

Yes 8% 125 shares
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 3.7% 270.27 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 99% 3,161.76 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 99.3% 906.34 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 68% 2,941.18 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 92% 97.83 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 68% 220.59 shares
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goals

Yes 26% 76.92 shares