No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $5.34K
- Potential payout
- $5.9K
- Potential profit
- $560.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $265.5
Polymarket Trader
39192
0x4ce822c0e3ac55b36c78d817aa4cfe39ea8092b4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.31K
- Realized PnL
- $5.09K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$204.77
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $1.13K
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $17.76
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $330.57
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $19.5
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $980.49
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $819.3
- Potential payout
- $824.25
- Potential profit
- $4.95
- User PnL
- $69.24
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 29?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $726.56
- Potential profit
- $726.56
- User PnL
- -$710.38
Yes position
50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 29?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Player 191 win Beast Games: Season 2?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.66
- Potential profit
- $63.66
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Player 195 win Beast Games: Season 2?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.07
- Potential profit
- $53.07
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Player 172 win Beast Games: Season 2?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.85
- Potential profit
- $50.85
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.91
- Potential profit
- $34.91
- User PnL
- -$33.69
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $2.85
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $27.15
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.65
Yes position
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.39
- Potential profit
- $24.39
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on February 25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Seahawks position
Seahawks vs. Patriots
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $595
No position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $504
No position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $366.88
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $296.11
No position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $243.62
No position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240
No position
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.47
G2 Esports position
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffs
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.68
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.6
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.18
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.46
No position
US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
No position
US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.07
Yes position
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C or higher on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down on June 6?Up 82% 78 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on June 6?Up 82% 761 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on June 6?Up 81% 255 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Yes 2.1% 999.99 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3AM ETUp 80% 841.65 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 85% 100 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 86% 6,000 shares
- Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 74% 15.85 shares
- Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 75% 21.07 shares
- Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 74% 10.29 shares
- Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 74% 320.32 shares
- Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 73% 12.35 shares