Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
0x4CeEA38BEBa264aB5AbbBdb0326735E471Aac1A6-1774886435113
0x4ceea38beba264ab5abbbdb0326735e471aac1a6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0.03
- Realized PnL
- $154.32
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.99
- Potential profit
- $52.99
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.01
- Potential profit
- $45.01
- User PnL
- -$4
Down position
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.4
- Potential profit
- $26.4
- User PnL
- -$25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $15.58
- Potential profit
- $15.57
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.28
- Potential profit
- $14.28
- User PnL
- -$2.57
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $13.33
- Potential profit
- $13.33
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $12.2
- Potential profit
- $12.19
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.23
- Potential profit
- $10.23
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $6.66
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $6.67
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.64
- Potential profit
- $6.64
- User PnL
- -$6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.16
- Potential profit
- $5.16
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.69
- Potential profit
- $4.69
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.46
- Potential profit
- $4.46
- User PnL
- -$1.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.77
- Potential profit
- $2.77
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.85
- Potential profit
- $1.85
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.19
- Potential profit
- $1.19
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.81
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.73
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.49
Down position
XRP Up or Down - April 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.87
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 2?Yes 6.4% 15.58 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 2?Yes 30% 6.67 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 2?Yes 15% 13.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 2?Yes 41% 12.2 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETDown 39.9% 5.55 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETDown 36% 5.56 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETUp 62% 9.81 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETDown 40% 7.14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETUp 51% 9.8 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETUp 52% 7.24 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETDown 28% 7.14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETUp 69% 7.25 shares