Polymarket Trader

0x4cee...cbf9

0x4ceee0b43a695178b3a543dbc2a5bb65d389cbf9

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $1.04K
Realized PnL: $444.7
Win rate: 65.2%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 23
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $387.98
Potential profit: $387.98
User PnL: -$175.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $280.82
Potential payout: $293.59
Potential profit: $12.77
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $9.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C or higher on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $208.26
Potential payout: $208.36
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: $1.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $160.67
Potential payout: $197.16
Potential profit: $36.5
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $4.91

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $163.47
Potential profit: $163.47
User PnL: -$61.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.95

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $99.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $0.55

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $88.5
Potential payout: $98.88
Potential profit: $10.38
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$0.49

No position

Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $29.52
Potential payout: $96.77
Potential profit: $67.26
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$0.48

No position

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $57.67
Potential payout: $71.64
Potential profit: $13.97
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$2.45

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $62.1
Potential payout: $62.2
Potential profit: $0.09
User PnL: $7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $47.7
Potential profit: $47.67
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $1.14
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $38.86
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $7.59
Potential payout: $28.63
Potential profit: $21.04
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $18.49
Potential payout: $18.51
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $17.69
Potential profit: $17.68
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.46
Potential profit: $15.46
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $14.42
Potential payout: $14.43
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $14.08
Potential profit: $13.1
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will XRP dip to $1.00 July 6-12?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $13.43
Potential payout: $13.99
Potential profit: $0.56
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.84
Potential profit: $12.84
User PnL: -$2.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$1.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $223.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.62

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 11, 2AM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.67

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.41

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.8

Down position

Solana Up or Down - July 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.92

Up position

Solana Up or Down - July 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.19

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: -$1.17

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.75

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$5.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$6.79

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$7.46

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will XRP dip to $1.00 July 6-12?

No 99.8% 13.99 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

Up 51% 2.75 shares
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?

No 27% 28.63 shares
Solana Up or Down - July 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Down 50% 3.74 shares
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 11?

Yes 7.1% 14.08 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on July 11?

No 79% 0.91 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C or higher on July 11?

No 99.8% 99.98 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on July 11?

No 99.3% 15.75 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on July 11?

No 99.3% 59.01 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C or higher on July 11?

No 99.7% 7.49 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 11?

No 3.1% 15.31 shares
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

No 81% 7.81 shares