Yes position
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $68.39
- Potential payout
- $45.6K
- Potential profit
- $45.53K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $22.8
Polymarket Trader
caeed
0x4cf4ed3699cde634d63df6123f1b1d2ffccbf4da
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $105.66
- Realized PnL
- $244.9
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $37.27
- Potential payout
- $37.95
- Potential profit
- $0.68
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.44
- Potential profit
- $3.44
- User PnL
- -$3.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Panthers position
Kings vs. Panthers
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242.33
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Weed rescheduled in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 1?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
St. Johns Red Storm position
Providence Friars vs. St. John's Red Storm
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Maduro visits the U.S. by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Xi visit the US by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy Edition
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?No 97.5% 37.95 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 78.9% 3.46 shares
- Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No 99.9% 2 shares
- Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No 99.9% 1.6 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No 94.4% 3.44 shares
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No 99.9% 4 shares
- Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No 99.9% 3.17 shares
- Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No 99.9% 2.86 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No 99.6% 3.01 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?No 99.8% 3.63 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?No 99.8% 3.77 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?No 99.8% 4.13 shares