Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.1
- Potential profit
- $31.1
- User PnL
- -$3.11
Polymarket Trader
gkjdrsj
0x4cf53ac48ca24776240ddafb6fc6bed2eb1450b6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.92
- Realized PnL
- $0.69
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $4.59
- Potential payout
- $5.5
- Potential profit
- $0.91
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $5.33
- Potential payout
- $5.35
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Panthers position
Red Wings vs. Panthers
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.71
No position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.34
Jets position
Kraken vs. Jets
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82
Pelicans position
Mavericks vs. Pelicans
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
Yes position
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47
No position
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37
No position
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
Kings position
Canucks vs. Kings
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Barbora Krejcikova position
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Renata Zarazua
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Thunder position
Lakers vs. Thunder
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.09
Penguins position
Penguins vs. Capitals
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.1
Predators position
Predators vs. Oilers
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.69
Rockets position
Rockets vs. Bulls
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.82
No position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.64
Ducks position
Ducks vs. Sharks
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?No 92% 5.5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 95% 5.35 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 92% 6.01 shares
- Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Renata ZarazuaBarbora Krejcikova 85% 5.89 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?No 83% 6.42 shares
- Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?No 91% 5.51 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes 10% 31.1 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 15?No 92% 5.74 shares
- Lakers vs. ThunderThunder 88% 6.26 shares
- Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?Yes 78% 6.69 shares
- Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?No 79% 6.53 shares
- Will 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?No 89% 5.66 shares