Polymarket Trader

camuno

0x4cf7b4f9f19518e7c7e9995163b456c3d1731cd7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $75.72
Realized PnL: $640.03
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $10.47
Potential payout: $265.15
Potential profit: $254.68
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$14.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $236.57
Potential profit: $236.57
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $233.5
Potential profit: $233.5
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.7%
Current value: $40.99
Potential payout: $219.78
Potential profit: $178.79
Multiplier: 5.36x
User PnL: $20.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.42
Potential profit: $199.42
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $192.79
Potential profit: $192.79
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $167.71
Potential profit: $167.71
User PnL: -$11.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $158.57
Potential profit: $158.57
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $124.57
Potential profit: $124.57
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.8
Potential profit: $121.8
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118.6
Potential profit: $118.6
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.11
Potential profit: $108.11
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.22
Potential profit: $107.22
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.81
Potential profit: $100.81
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $12.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $87.5
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$19.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $11.76
Potential payout: $81.08
Potential profit: $69.32
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$18.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.9
Potential profit: $76.9
User PnL: -$3

Down position

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.94
Potential profit: $75.94
User PnL: -$2

Over position

Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 8.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.25
Potential profit: $75.25
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.22
Potential profit: $72.22
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Exact Score: Morocco 1 - 2 Haiti?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90

Yes position

Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

Yes position

Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.27

Yes position

Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.41

Up position

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.19

Yes position

Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.28

Yes position

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-07?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.79

Up position

Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.6

No position

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals

Yes 26% 15.38 shares
France vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5

Over 14% 14.29 shares
Erling Haaland: 2+ goals

Yes 8% 12.5 shares
Ayase Ueda: 2+ goals

Yes 8% 12.5 shares
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 4.5

Over 13% 15.38 shares
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 3.5

Over 24% 16.67 shares
Lionel Messi: 2+ goals

Yes 20% 10 shares
Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 6.3% 15.87 shares
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 10.5 Total Corners

Over 13.7% 14.64 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 5% 40 shares
Lautaro Martínez: 3+ goals

Yes 6% 16.67 shares
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5

Over 10% 20 shares