Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.3%
- Current value
- $1.86K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $3.14K
- Multiplier
- 2.68x
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Polymarket Trader
sfourty
0x4cfed35844e980bc7ce2b03e1d38c524be3f5e2f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.86K
- Realized PnL
- $16.65K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$168
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4K
Yes position
Will TikTok be banned again before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.83K
No position
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.65K
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Yes position
Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $635.7
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $625.07
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $435
No position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $400.2
Yes position
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $362.41
No position
Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $307.65
Yes position
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $279.33
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $269.53
Yes position
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245.52
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.3%
- Multiplier
- 4.71x
- User PnL
- $230
Y
Yes position
Will U.S. GDP growth be between 2% and 1% in Q1 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $207.59
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $140.98
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.97
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.33
Yes position
Will 7-8 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.14
No position
Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $65.21
No position
TikTok sale announced before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.2
No position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.04
No position
Will TikTok be on the App Store on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.2% 2,940 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 84% 3.33 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.1% 5,001 shares
- Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?Yes 21% 800 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 7.7% 2,500 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.4% 2,100 shares
- Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.2% 2,940 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.1% 2,500 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.5% 5,000 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.6% 5,001 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 30% 3.33 shares
- Starmer out by May 19, 2026?No 99.4% 151 shares