Polymarket Trader

luisliu

0x4cff670cfe6ca3cfa50477c939149d1bd2017cdb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.31K
Realized PnL: $2.71K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Colombia position

Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $2.25K
Potential payout: $2.46K
Potential profit: $209.32
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $258.57

Germany position

Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.87K
Potential profit: $1.87K
User PnL: -$1.63K

Yes position

Will Canada be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $18.58
Potential payout: $25.81
Potential profit: $7.23
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: -$0.92

Yes position

Will Egypt be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $10.18
Potential payout: $12.05
Potential profit: $1.87
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $7.42
Potential payout: $10.68
Potential profit: $3.26
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.63
Potential payout: $10.64
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.63

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $4.75
Potential payout: $7.25
Potential profit: $2.5
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Cape Verde be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.32
Potential payout: $5.32
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will Ecuador be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Netherlands be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.17
Potential profit: $3.17
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Senegal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.56
Potential profit: $2.56
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $393.51

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $370.07

Yes position

Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $352.9

United States position

United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $274.29

Spain position

Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $259.58

England position

England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.45

Norway position

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.73

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.19

France position

France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.47

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.38

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $59.4

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.95

Yes position

Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.87

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.67

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.63

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.3

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.63

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.52

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.89

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.84

Yes position

Will Sweden be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.12

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.85

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.07

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.26

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance

Colombia 91% 30 shares
Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance

Colombia 81% 109.88 shares
Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance

Colombia 81% 1,111.11 shares
Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance

Colombia 81% 1,234.57 shares
Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance

Colombia 81% 37.04 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Argentina 99.9% 5,386.18 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Argentina 93.6% 9.62 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Argentina 93.9% 5.32 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Argentina 94.8% 100 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Argentina 94.8% 21.1 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Argentina 88.6% 1.13 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Argentina 89.3% 7.84 shares