Polymarket Trader

crazyrob

0x4d045b1ad2873af9a14515e59fa3764f97ddf39f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $33.91
Realized PnL: $10.21
Win rate: 58.3%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $33.91
Potential payout: $35.86
Potential profit: $1.95
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $23.91

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.51

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during National Agriculture Day events?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.89

Yes position

Will gas hit (High) $4.00 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.16

Yes position

Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during the FII PRIORITY Summit?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.96

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.06

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07

Yes position

Will Trump say "Epic Fury" this week? (April 5)

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Gianni" or "Infantino" during the FII PRIORITY Summit?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 7+ times during the FII PRIORITY Summit?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Will Trump say "EPA" or "Protection Agency" during National Agriculture Day events?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

Yes position

Will Trump say "Sunday" this week? (April 5)

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Israel Adesanya position

UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during National Agriculture Day events?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the DHS shutdown end between April 13-16, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 10.5%
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$2.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Trump say "Deficit" during National Agriculture Day events?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Trump or Melania say "Billy" or "Roxie" at Chicago Opening Night?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Trump say "Iran" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.16

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump say "Weather" or "Rain" or "Raining" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?

Yes 62.4% 8.01 shares
Will Trump say "Iran" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?

No 42% 11.9 shares
Will Trump say "Jesus Christ" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?

Yes 72% 13.89 shares
Will Trump say "Plastic Egg" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?

Yes 35% 28.57 shares
Will Trump say "Weather" or "Rain" or "Raining" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?

Yes 58.4% 17.12 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 15% 32.25 shares
US recession by end of 2026?

Yes 31% 55.55 shares
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 13-16, 2026?

Yes 15% 16.64 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Yes 5.2% 698.32 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Up 1% 85.74 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Up 25% 3.57 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Up 32% 2.82 shares