Polymarket Trader

0x4D1109B42742aaC26A81bd2613318240d62Aa662-1768012916693

0x4d1109b42742aac26a81bd2613318240d62aa662

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $75.41
Realized PnL: $3.07
Win rate: 46.7%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $17.09
Potential payout: $17.2
Potential profit: $0.11
User PnL: $1.09

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $15.44
Potential payout: $15.45
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.93
Potential profit: $14.93
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $11.9
Potential payout: $12.03
Potential profit: $0.14
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.9

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.42
Potential profit: $10.42
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $4.85
Potential payout: $10.2
Potential profit: $5.36
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $6.58
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $1.75
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.61
Potential profit: $7.61
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.49
Potential profit: $6.49
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $5.03
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $0.85
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $5.03
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $0.85
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $4.91
Potential payout: $5.75
Potential profit: $0.83
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$0.09

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.32
Potential profit: $5.32
User PnL: -$5

SpaceX position

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 88.8%
Current value: $4.57
Potential payout: $5.15
Potential profit: $0.58
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$0.43

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.11

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.18

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

No position

Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.56

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.59

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 85% 5.88 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 49% 10.2 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 87% 5.75 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 85% 5.88 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 60% 8.33 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 65.7% 7.61 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 72% 6.94 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 83% 6.02 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 64% 7.81 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 89% 5.62 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 77% 6.49 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 48% 10.42 shares