Yes position
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $949.55
- Potential payout
- $51.33K
- Potential profit
- $50.38K
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$825.8
Polymarket Trader
newbiereal
0x4d14310a56703c8bd7076f0474f854149fddc5c2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.06K
- Realized PnL
- -$41.8
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $1.05K
- Potential payout
- $27.28K
- Potential profit
- $26.23K
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$1.04K
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.69K
- Potential profit
- $19.69K
- User PnL
- -$7.59K
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.58K
- Potential profit
- $18.58K
- User PnL
- -$5.6K
Yes position
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $950.03
- Potential payout
- $14.62K
- Potential profit
- $13.67K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$49.96
Yes position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $1.11K
- Potential payout
- $5.71K
- Potential profit
- $4.59K
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $112.92
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- $484.94
Yes position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$526.74
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 7% 15,677.34 shares
- Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 17.5% 5,707.3 shares
- Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 8.5% 11,604.08 shares
- Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 6.8% 14,615.83 shares
- Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 4.7% 12,385.18 shares
- Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 3% 13,904.65 shares
- Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 2.9% 19,414.98 shares
- Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 3.8% 5,621.99 shares
- New pandemic in 2026?Yes 10.4% 14,976.12 shares
- New pandemic in 2026?Yes 9% 537.28 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 7.4% 74,514.65 shares
- New pandemic in 2026?Yes 13.7% 15,513.4 shares