Polymarket Trader

EVpm3

0x4d1f0c600dd33be59c2f27ba2d9e6827ac1a6465

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.1K
Realized PnL: $472.51
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $348.35
Potential payout: $881.91
Potential profit: $533.56
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$207.25

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $155
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $345
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: $37.5

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $27.37
Potential payout: $493.2
Potential profit: $465.83
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$5.18

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 86.9%
Current value: $217.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $32.88
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $0.38

No position

World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $36.44
Potential payout: $235.08
Potential profit: $198.64
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$10.58

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $13.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $186.5
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: -$1.7

No position

Will the announcers say "Handball" during the France vs Iraq FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $128.67
Potential payout: $186.5
Potential profit: $57.83
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $48.47

Yes position

Will Kenan Yıldız score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $29.11
Potential payout: $171.23
Potential profit: $142.12
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$68.49

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 86.2%
Current value: $54.58
Potential payout: $63.36
Potential profit: $8.78
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the announcers say "Nutmeg / Meg" during the France vs Iraq FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $36.19
Potential payout: $44.13
Potential profit: $7.94
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $18.98

Yes position

Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $31.13
Potential payout: $40.69
Potential profit: $9.56
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$3.05

No position

Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $12.64
Potential payout: $18.72
Potential profit: $6.09
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: -$0.66

Yes position

Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $4.88
Potential payout: $7.13
Potential profit: $2.25
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $1.82

No position

Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.98
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Curaçao concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $1.73
Potential payout: $1.94
Potential profit: $0.2
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.38

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Tampa Bay Rays position

Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.48

Yes position

Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.2

No position

Portugal leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.81

Milwaukee Brewers position

San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

No position

Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $19.64

Team Liquid position

LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.34

Under position

Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10

Los Angeles Dodgers position

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.52

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $7.99

No position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $7.56

Over position

Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.36

Sharks position

Counter-Strike: Sharks vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.47

No position

Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $6.1

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.2%
Multiplier: 7.60x
User PnL: $5.75

Under position

Canada vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Austria vs. Jordan: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

No position

Will Scotland finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.21

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $3.98

Yes position

Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 42.5%
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $3.6

No position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 30.5%
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $3.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35

No position

Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.76

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Down 99% 5.05 shares
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

No 20% 264.04 shares
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 17% 115.95 shares
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2027?

Yes 52% 40.09 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

No 44% 54.65 shares
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Yes 62.9% 151.41 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 50% 411.27 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Up 99% 5.05 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Down 99% 5.05 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Up 99% 5.05 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Down 99% 5.05 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Up 98% 5.05 shares