Yes position
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
Ends Jan 3, 2027- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $37.58
- Potential payout
- $60.61
- Potential profit
- $23.03
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $17.58
Polymarket Trader
Og44
0x4d2b7791d569caa139ad70a57f087312c83c6275
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $91.26
- Realized PnL
- -$72.9
- Win rate
- 61.9%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $53.68
- Potential payout
- $53.68
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $28.68
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.4
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.05
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.38
No position
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.56
No position
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.41
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.14
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.44
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.84
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
No position
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89
Yes position
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
No position
Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by October 31
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by November 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.54
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Netanyahu out by 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump lower tariffs on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$102
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No 98.3% 22.98 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by November 30?Yes 0.2% 1.02 shares
- US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?No 96.8% 27.77 shares
- Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?Yes 44.7% 22.37 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes 46% 43.48 shares
- Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No 1% 45.45 shares
- Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?Yes 33% 60.61 shares
- Will Trump lower tariffs on Mexico by December 31?Yes 82% 12.2 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by October 31?Yes 3.5% 142.86 shares
- Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by October 31No 87% 11.49 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes 49% 10.2 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?Yes 43% 46.51 shares