Polymarket Trader

Maxo

0x4d34d9ecee03b92e9b2d3261efcd3a628644a987

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $67.95
Realized PnL: $42.32
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 9?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 26?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.7K
Potential profit: $3.7K
User PnL: -$26.09

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 3?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $986.49
Potential profit: $986.49
User PnL: -$10.3

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 19?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $602.49
Potential profit: $602.49
User PnL: -$32

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$23

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 5?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$10

Down position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150.77
Potential profit: $150.77
User PnL: -$1.06

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $67.95
Potential payout: $118.18
Potential profit: $50.23
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $2.95

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.4
Potential profit: $103.4
User PnL: -$30

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.97
Potential profit: $79.97
User PnL: -$9.6

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 8 and 10 seconds?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$10.5

No position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.43
Potential profit: $64.43
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 4 and 6 seconds?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$10.8

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.15
Potential profit: $30.15
User PnL: -$15

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$10

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$5.75

No position

Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.08
Potential profit: $12.08
User PnL: -$10

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.3

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.52
Potential profit: $9.52
User PnL: -$4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin shake hands for 10 seconds or more?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.98

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.32

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.55

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.15

Yes position

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.83

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$17.85

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 55% 118.18 shares
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 8?

Down 0.7% 5.09 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 6?

Down 35% 28.57 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 19?

Up 38.1% 52.49 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 11?

Up 33% 10 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 11?

Down 49.8% 30.15 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 9?

Up 0.1% 10,000 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?

Up 66% 15.15 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 3?

Up 0.4% 22.89 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 26?

Up 0.1% 1,090 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 26?

Up 1% 2,611.14 shares
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?

No 82.8% 12.08 shares