Polymarket Trader

OelleO

0x4d3e14cdd0aa30e3cf20e1e57d49263c69d12e20

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.53K
Realized PnL: $3.7K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $158.89K
Potential profit: $158.89K
User PnL: -$1.27K

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$69.95

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $987.5
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $24.01K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$87.5

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$32

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $135
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.87K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $62.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.94K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$6.5

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $67.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.93K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$32.5

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $22.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.98K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $252.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.75K
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $67.5

No position

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$89.54

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $623.57
Potential profit: $623.57
User PnL: -$335.16

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $410.09
Potential profit: $410.09
User PnL: -$7.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $312.5
User PnL: -$100

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $307.69
Potential profit: $307.69
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$144

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $3.15
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $296.85
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$1.95

Yes position

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$22

No position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$24

No position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $172.27
Potential profit: $172.27
User PnL: -$2.69

Yes position

Exact Score: Algeria 1 - 2 Austria?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$30

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $985.04

No position

Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $432.86

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $298.17

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.7

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.72

Yes position

Starmer out by June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.62

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.47

Yes position

Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.5

Yes position

Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 Senegal?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.08

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.47

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.5

No position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.9

No position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.59

Yes position

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $74.49

No position

Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.11

No position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance

South Africa 26% 96.15 shares
Will Ecuador be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Yes 59% 47.76 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.2% 2,000 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.4% 5,000 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.7% 5,000 shares
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?

No 32% 156.25 shares
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?

No 32% 156.25 shares
Will Iran be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

No 51% 0.57 shares
Will Iran be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

No 39% 17.11 shares
Exact Score: Algeria 1 - 2 Austria?

Yes 20% 150 shares
Will Iran be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

No 78.5% 103.79 shares
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.9% 448.49 shares