No position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $44.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $5.25
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $19.75
Polymarket Trader
0x4d46...4f39
0x4d467219aaf029bbfad2e53662df405ba7444f39
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $101.8
- Realized PnL
- -$17.21
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $26
- Potential profit
- $25.81
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.08
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1.14
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $15.22
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $1.79
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $1.47
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $12.53
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $0.66
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.34
- Multiplier
- 15.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
No position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.3%
- Current value
- $6.33
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $2.67
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $1.01
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.7%
- Current value
- $8.25
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $5.7
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $1.3
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $7
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $5.76
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $1.29
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $4.71
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $0.6
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.4
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.45
No position
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $4.58
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.42
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.43
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.84
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.3%
- Multiplier
- 12.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.7%
- Multiplier
- 3.37x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Yes position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$17.88
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 91% 17 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?Yes 9% 14 shares
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?No 59.1% 9 shares
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Yes 40.9% 6 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 93% 9 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Yes 10% 10 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Yes 7.2% 15 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 59% 6 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 41% 12 shares
- Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?No 5.7% 20 shares
- Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?Yes 94.3% 7 shares
- China coup attempt before 2027?No 94.8% 6 shares