Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.7%
- Current value
- $12.26
- Potential payout
- $159.2
- Potential profit
- $146.94
- Multiplier
- 12.99x
- User PnL
- -$11.62
Polymarket Trader
0x4D520DC616a7744C9CEfD9740146705B43E49194-1783087506972
0x4d520dc616a7744c9cefd9740146705b43e49194
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $19.77
- Realized PnL
- $2.13
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?
Ends Nov 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $0.64
- Potential payout
- $21.39
- Potential profit
- $20.75
- Multiplier
- 33.33x
- User PnL
- -$5.35
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 24, 2026?
Ends Jul 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $6.87
- Potential payout
- $18.58
- Potential profit
- $11.71
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- $1.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $16.88
Y
Yes position
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
N
No position
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
No position
Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.45
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
Y
Yes position
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.8%
- Multiplier
- 5.95x
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.34
No position
Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.77
No position
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Romania come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Trump kiss by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.09
No position
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.62
No position
Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.25
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.53
No position
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.67
No position
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.65
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 24, 2026?Yes 31% 18.58 shares
- Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by July 31?No 55% 9.65 shares
- Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by July 31?No 40% 9.65 shares
- Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 15% 32.4 shares
- Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 15% 35.13 shares
- Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 15% 32.4 shares
- Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 15% 35.13 shares
- Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 15% 24.13 shares
- Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?No 28% 21.39 shares
- Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?No 80.1% 4.03 shares
- Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?No 78% 0.12 shares
- Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?No 33% 4.15 shares