Polymarket Trader

tradingpeanut

0x4d53dffdb7db073c1ca5945a9c6e0f0821c33b55

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $96.15
Realized PnL: $294.43
Win rate: 93.8%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $180
User PnL: -$46.9

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$20

No position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $90
User PnL: -$45

No position

Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $75
User PnL: -$25.5

No position

Maduro out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.46
Potential profit: $72.46
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 93.6%
Current value: $51.45
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $3.55
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.4

Yes position

Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-22?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$20

Pelicans position

Pelicans vs. Cavaliers

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.56
Potential profit: $38.56
User PnL: -$10

Kings position

Blue Jackets vs. Kings

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.9
Potential profit: $33.9
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.1%
Current value: $24.7
Potential payout: $31.65
Potential profit: $6.95
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $22.2

No position

Will John Stirling die in Bridgerton: Season 4?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.58
Potential profit: $25.58
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19.99
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $8.99

Yes position

Will Murray die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $15.38
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.87
Potential profit: $10.87
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.19
Potential profit: $5.19
User PnL: -$1.97

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182.28

No position

Iran leadership change by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.9

Yes position

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.01

No position

Will Posy Li die in Bridgerton: Season 4?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.39

Yes position

Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.01

No position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.18

No position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.4

Yes position

Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.79

Yes position

Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.42

Yes position

Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.65

No position

Will "The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week? (February 10)

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.58

Yes position

Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.35

Yes position

Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.64

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.4%
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $1.37

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.6%
Multiplier: 4.85x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 1%
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$35.53

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?

Yes 0.6% 70.22 shares
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Yes 88% 1,477 shares
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?

No 34% 75 shares
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Yes 25% 65.88 shares
Will John Stirling die in Bridgerton: Season 4?

No 11.7% 25.58 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

Up 38% 5.19 shares
Will Posy Li die in Bridgerton: Season 4?

No 92% 217.39 shares
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Yes 72% 34.72 shares
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?

No 46% 43.48 shares
Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?

Yes 99.7% 34.05 shares
Will "The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week? (February 10)

No 97.1% 32.5 shares
Will "The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week? (February 10)

No 76.9% 32.51 shares