Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $52.01
- Potential payout
- $57.47
- Potential profit
- $5.46
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.01
Polymarket Trader
MagicBlackMarket
0x4d5a3589ffd53a37f095c2e68e903afd455bae80
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $52.01
- Realized PnL
- $21.78
- Win rate
- 88.2%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.03
- Potential profit
- $12.03
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.93
- Potential profit
- $10.93
- User PnL
- -$8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Over position
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 1.5
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.35
Nuggets position
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.75
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58
Raptors position
Pelicans vs. Raptors
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Clippers position
Clippers vs. Pacers
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
Rockets position
Rockets vs. Grizzlies
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Thunder position
Bulls vs. Thunder
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will António José Seguro win the second round by at least 50%?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 87% 57.47 shares
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 1.5Over 81.5% 61.35 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 94.9% 50.58 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 5?Yes 98.5% 15.23 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 5?Yes 73.2% 10.93 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 5?Yes 16.6% 12.03 shares
- Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?No 99.1% 26.47 shares
- Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?No 98.2% 26.48 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.3% 28.01 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 92.8% 28.02 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 94.9% 26.99 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96.3% 27 shares