Polymarket Trader

Epic424

0x4d5b3ad3526ee058aa393e07a2772b38913497c6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $26.1K
Realized PnL: $1.76K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $17.43K
Potential payout: $18.78K
Potential profit: $1.34K
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $329.17

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $6.13K
Potential payout: $6.63K
Potential profit: $497.29
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $57.89

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $1.75K
Potential payout: $1.93K
Potential profit: $183.64
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $151.4

No position

Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $596.48
Potential payout: $659.1
Potential profit: $62.61
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$3.52

No position

Will the U.S. national debt hit $41 trillion before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $85.05
Potential payout: $128.87
Potential profit: $43.81
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: -$14.95

No position

Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $97.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $2.5
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $7.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the U.S. acquire Canadian territory in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240.92

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $226.38

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180.01

No position

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $159.69

No position

Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.84

No position

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.66

No position

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.06

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.86

No position

Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.76

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.68

No position

Elon Musk trillionaire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.3

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.19

Blue Jays position

Dodgers vs. Blue Jays

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.33

Yes position

Will U.S. summer tourism decline in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.61

No position

Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.26

No position

Will Meta announce WhatsApp sale in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.35

No position

Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.71

No position

Will WeWork declare bankruptcy before July?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.2

No position

Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.79

No position

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.67

No position

Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.94

No position

Trump out as President by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk be richest person on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.5

No position

Khamenei seen in public by February 28?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

No 91.7% 214.07 shares
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

No 81% 227.27 shares
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

No 91.4% 2,000 shares
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No 93% 2,000 shares
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

No 90.9% 47.3 shares
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?

No 86% 50 shares
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

No 89.9% 2,682.68 shares
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

No 89.9% 1,112.35 shares
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

No 89.9% 1,112.35 shares
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

No 95.6% 4,115.63 shares
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

No 95.6% 500 shares
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

No 89.9% 420.47 shares