Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.78K
- Potential profit
- $8.78K
- User PnL
- -$3.65K
Polymarket Trader
0x4d5f6506f6A05537a3fd2e3424586888Af0489D7-1758109338239
0x4d5f6506f6a05537a3fd2e3424586888af0489d7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.36K
- Realized PnL
- -$2.46K
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $2.6K
- Potential payout
- $2.88K
- Potential profit
- $273.22
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $273.22
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $1.76K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $240
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $300
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $279.66
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $126.74
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.17
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $66.95
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$655.52
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$2.36K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 81% 2,876 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 45.8% 5,060.47 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 68% 110 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 41.6% 8,778.64 shares
- AI bubble burst in 2026?No 60.4% 1,285.49 shares
- AI bubble burst in 2026?No 71.6% 3,528.43 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 92% 148 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes 99.4% 3,650 shares
- DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?Yes 78.9% 1,326.53 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 89% 18.42 shares
- AI bubble burst in 2026?No 82.2% 238.74 shares
- AI bubble burst in 2026?No 82.1% 46 shares