Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $42.19
- Potential payout
- $312.5
- Potential profit
- $270.31
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$7.81
Polymarket Trader
0x4D685f5bce3e7afAcAB8DD75FFD3F9d239a380a2-1777665644674
0x4d685f5bce3e7afacab8dd75ffd3f9d239a380a2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $140.17
- Realized PnL
- -$12.19
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $7.86
- Potential payout
- $104.76
- Potential profit
- $96.9
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$14.14
No position
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $58.8
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $21.2
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $18.8
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $31.32
- Potential payout
- $37.29
- Potential profit
- $5.97
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $2.32
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
No position
Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81
Yes position
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?Yes 77.8% 37.29 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Yes 21% 104.76 shares
- Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 99.9% 29.02 shares
- Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 32.7% 30.57 shares
- Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?No 64% 7.81 shares
- Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 47% 29.79 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 15?No 7% 14.29 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes 16% 312.5 shares
- Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?No 50% 80 shares
- Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 68.9% 29.03 shares