Polymarket Trader

ArcticHowl

0x4d695c6d119ad8c0fc7096f55449754510b356c2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $85.04
Realized PnL: $38.98
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $85.04
Potential payout: $85.77
Potential profit: $0.73
User PnL: $0.04

Hornets position

Pistons vs. Hornets

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.26
Potential profit: $8.26
User PnL: -$5.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Heide position

Australian Open Men's: Gustavo Heide vs Jay Clarke

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.55

Tomova position

Australian Open Women's: Bernarda Pera vs Viktoriya Tomova

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.67

No position

Will GPT-5 be released by August 5?

Ends Aug 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.35

No position

Will Ethereum reach $6000 in September?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

No position

Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03

Yes position

Will Trump say “Border” 5+ times during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?

Ends Jul 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

No position

Will Solana dip to $80 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 470 or more times August 8–August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Truth Social memecoin launch this week?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Berlin International Gaming position

LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Misa Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Champions Round

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Bucks position

Mavericks vs. Bucks

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$4.11

Packers position

Packers vs. Bears

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Pistons vs. Hornets

Hornets 66% 8.26 shares
Mavericks vs. Bucks

Bucks 55% 31.34 shares
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Heroic 40% 18.03 shares
LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Misa Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Champions Round

Berlin International Gaming 37% 8.11 shares
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5

Over 65% 7.69 shares
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Donna Vekic

Vekic 59% 25.42 shares
Mavericks vs. Bucks

Bucks 68.1% 31.35 shares
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 99.1% 85.77 shares
Australian Open Men's: Yannick Hanfmann vs Benjamin Hassan

Hanfmann 82% 24.39 shares
Australian Open Men's: Gustavo Heide vs Jay Clarke

Heide 55% 54.55 shares
Australian Open Women's: Bernarda Pera vs Viktoriya Tomova

Tomova 60% 41.67 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

No 97.1% 25.75 shares