Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
0x4D6Be805ffab4a0671e5072D00B9d0FcbFF7a7b4-1720382818078
0x4d6be805ffab4a0671e5072d00b9d0fcbff7a7b4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.37K
- Realized PnL
- $1.94K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.39K
- Potential profit
- $3.39K
- User PnL
- -$134.8
Yes position
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$78
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $8.74
- Potential payout
- $832.06
- Potential profit
- $823.32
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$135.33
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $772.67
- Potential profit
- $772.67
- User PnL
- -$20.75
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $530.12
- Potential payout
- $671.03
- Potential profit
- $140.92
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $172.09
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $396.68
- Potential payout
- $615
- Potential profit
- $218.33
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $107.63
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.2%
- Current value
- $155.6
- Potential payout
- $454.98
- Potential profit
- $299.38
- Multiplier
- 2.92x
- User PnL
- -$43.82
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $435
- Potential profit
- $435
- User PnL
- -$4.38
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $402.67
- Potential profit
- $402.67
- User PnL
- -$185.23
Yes position
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $367.86
- Potential profit
- $367.86
- User PnL
- -$4.37
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $28.53
- Potential payout
- $335.67
- Potential profit
- $307.14
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$5.75
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $309.93
- Potential profit
- $309.93
- User PnL
- -$15.6
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $2.7
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $297.3
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$51.3
Yes position
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $20
- Potential payout
- $266.67
- Potential profit
- $246.67
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $31.42
- Potential payout
- $241.67
- Potential profit
- $210.25
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$6.18
Yes position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $221.19
- Potential profit
- $221.19
- User PnL
- -$79.36
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $99.64
- Potential payout
- $214.29
- Potential profit
- $114.64
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $39.64
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $93.28
- Potential payout
- $205
- Potential profit
- $111.73
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $46.13
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $204.54
- Potential profit
- $204.54
- User PnL
- -$1.21
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.49
- Potential payout
- $161.79
- Potential profit
- $161.3
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$60.99
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $155.56
- Potential profit
- $155.56
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Yes position
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $144.61
- Potential profit
- $144.61
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $326.8
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 22?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $243.39
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.98
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid dip to $28 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.18
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $130.9
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.22
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $95
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.81
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.88
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.39
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.65
80k position
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.02
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.36
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $32
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 2-8?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.69
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.64
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.4
Yes position
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.7
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.28
Yes position
Will Hungary vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.91
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes 64.7% 69.63 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Yes 38% 161.79 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?Yes 14.1% 56.67 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?Yes 37% 97.3 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?Yes 61% 98.36 shares
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?Yes 8% 150 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?Yes 4% 49.88 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?Yes 3.2% 125 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 53% 101.89 shares
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?Yes 8% 50 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.1% 2,000 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.1% 4,000 shares