Yes position
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.99K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$45
Polymarket Trader
danbao23
@enzoXinc
0x4d7c1e10cfe85e1231606f3d5be5f228d2323e7a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $349.02
- Realized PnL
- $1.68K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $25.5
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.97K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $91.5
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.91K
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- $55.5
Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $55
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.95K
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- $19
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $17.25
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.48K
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$12.75
Yes position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $28.13
- Potential payout
- $148.03
- Potential profit
- $119.9
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$51.81
Yes position
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.95
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$13.33
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.6%
- Current value
- $19.8
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $30.2
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $4.54
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $11.55
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $18.45
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$11.55
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.99
- Potential profit
- $29.99
- User PnL
- -$14.4
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $16.63
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $8.38
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
No position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $24.94
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $9.49
Yes position
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $13
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- -$8.6
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $13.3
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.22
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $11.91
- Potential payout
- $11.99
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- User PnL
- $3.32
No position
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $9.09
- Potential payout
- $10.1
- Potential profit
- $1.01
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $3.38
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $4.99
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $1.56
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $520.45
Over position
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 219.5
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217.34
Yes position
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.55
Yes position
Will Trump say "Stock Market" during the Black History Month reception?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129
Yes position
Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 80 and 90 minutes long?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $78.9
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.07
No position
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.1
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $51.1
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.05
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.11
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.54
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.3
Yes position
Claude 4.7 released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.38
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29
Yes position
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.05
No position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $24.95
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.5
Yes position
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.88
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.35
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.79
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.3
Over position
Spurs vs. Nets: O/U 224.5
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.2
Natus Vincere position
LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Group Stage
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.1
Charles Oliveira position
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 19% 199.99 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 12% 100 shares
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsNatus Vincere 72% 20 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 63% 20 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 64% 14.38 shares
- Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?No 76% 5 shares
- Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?No 76% 10 shares
- Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?No 76.3% 15 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes 61.5% 15 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 4% 199.52 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 34% 199.99 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 54% 162.41 shares