Polymarket Trader

ngusevvvvvvvvvvvv

0x4d89d9c85b218bef34606919d79a0287de85a43e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $92.87
Realized PnL: $731.05
Win rate: 58.3%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.44K
Potential profit: $1.44K
User PnL: -$102

Yes position

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $1.06K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.7%
Current value: $46.44
Potential payout: $436.09
Potential profit: $389.64
Multiplier: 9.39x
User PnL: -$53.56

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $370.56
Potential profit: $370.56
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the US strike Iran next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $285.71
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $9.85
Potential payout: $201
Potential profit: $191.15
Multiplier: 20.41x
User PnL: -$40.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.58
Potential profit: $131.58
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.15
Potential profit: $96.15
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $15.91
Potential payout: $62.39
Potential profit: $46.48
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$4.09

Yes position

Winter Games 2026: Athlete to be stripped of medal?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.74
Potential profit: $45.74
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Starmer out by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $19.42
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $19.04
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.64
Potential profit: $24.64
User PnL: -$9.86

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $23.51
Potential profit: $22.27
Multiplier: 18.87x
User PnL: -$1.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $249.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189.9

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.65

Yes position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.99

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 2-8?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.71

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Kuniev position

UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Jailton Almeida (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Morono position

UFC Fight Night: Alex Morono vs. Daniil Donchenko (Welterweight, Prelims)

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Mavericks position

Mavericks vs. Spurs

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.3

Down position

Solana Up or Down - February 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Yes 40.5% 24.71 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

No 7.1% 1,437.51 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Up 40% 24.64 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Down 6% 16.65 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Up 30% 16.48 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Down 50% 19.69 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Yes 20.8% 96.15 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

Down 12% 166.2 shares
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?

Yes 24% 41.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

Down 99.9% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

Down 47% 20.95 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

Down 51% 9.65 shares