Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$2
Polymarket Trader
captaincuddles
0x4d98a43ca05d2c6196bc3a347da60d280572daae
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $110.54
- Realized PnL
- $220.13
- Win rate
- 42.1%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $351.85
- Potential profit
- $351.85
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $266.69
- Potential profit
- $266.69
- User PnL
- -$52
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $260.23
- Potential profit
- $260.23
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 11.1%
- Current value
- $25.12
- Potential payout
- $227.35
- Potential profit
- $202.23
- Multiplier
- 9.05x
- User PnL
- $4.12
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $9.67
- Potential payout
- $217.39
- Potential profit
- $207.72
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $10.1
- Potential payout
- $192.31
- Potential profit
- $182.21
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $1.85
- Potential payout
- $176.47
- Potential profit
- $174.62
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$58.15
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $9.3
- Potential payout
- $170.71
- Potential profit
- $161.4
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$18.7
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 13.1%
- Current value
- $19.72
- Potential payout
- $151.14
- Potential profit
- $131.42
- Multiplier
- 7.66x
- User PnL
- -$10.89
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $8.25
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $141.75
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$5.75
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $4.8
- Potential payout
- $107.98
- Potential profit
- $103.17
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Yes position
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $10.17
- Potential payout
- $81.39
- Potential profit
- $71.21
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.83
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $6.71
- Potential payout
- $33.54
- Potential profit
- $26.83
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.29
Yes position
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $4.83
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $28.5
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Bitcoin above $120,000 on July 23?
Ends Jul 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.32
- Potential profit
- $26.32
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.71
- Potential profit
- $14.71
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $249.84
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.55
No position
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?
Ends Sep 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.27
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.71
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.6
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 22?
Ends Jul 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.86
Yes position
Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.44
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.48
Yes position
Iran Nuke in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.87
No position
Doge ETF approved in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.08
Yes position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.67
Yes position
Will a cat 5 hurricane make US landfall during Hurricane Season 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.67
Yes position
Will Astronomer CEO Andy Byron sue Coldplay?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.06
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.3%
- Multiplier
- 5.19x
- User PnL
- -$16.9
No position
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$62.58
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 5.2% 192.31 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 18.4% 122.41 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?Yes 97.6% 296.97 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026?Yes 6.7% 29.85 shares
- Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Yes 15% 33.33 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026?Yes 6.4% 78.13 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Yes 23% 21.74 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?Yes 10% 100 shares
- Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes 29.8% 33.54 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?Yes 97.5% 30 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No 1.2% 83.33 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?Yes 93% 10 shares