whalesticks

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $249.88
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $0.13
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $133
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $67
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C or higher on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $189.91
Potential payout: $190
Potential profit: $0.09
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 84°F or higher on June 21?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $169.66
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $0.34
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $5.89
Potential payout: $142
Potential profit: $136.11
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$134.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be 102°F or higher on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $95.98
Potential payout: $96.03
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C or higher on June 21?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $89.91
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $0.09
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be 106°F or higher on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $79.96
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,150 Week of June 15 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69
Potential profit: $69
User PnL: -$25.87

No position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $32.51
Potential payout: $53.74
Potential profit: $21.23
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$14.24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 65°F or below on June 20?

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $49.68
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0.33
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Japan leading at halftime?

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $23.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $26.25
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $49.98
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $39.06
Potential payout: $39.08
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of June 15 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39
Potential profit: $39
User PnL: -$19.11

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be 77°F or below on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $34.66
Potential payout: $34.68
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $27.72
Potential payout: $27.76
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $20.06
Potential payout: $20.07
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 66-67°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $12.59
Potential payout: $12.6
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Hong Kong have between 375-400mm of precipitation in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $9.99
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Hong Kong have between 425-450mm of precipitation in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

HYPE Up or Down - March 16, 6PM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $611.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $602.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $509.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $323.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $308.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $265.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $260.73

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $223.41

Blues position

Blues vs. Hurricanes

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $169.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.02

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.5

Up position

Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.5

Yes position

West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: Draw at halftime?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET