Polymarket Trader

0x4DA4e159A37406c70be27769C309CcfA0f96FFA1-1780149135200

0x4da4e159a37406c70be27769c309ccfa0f96ffa1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.69
Realized PnL: $72.47
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $11.12
Potential payout: $37.7
Potential profit: $26.58
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $3.58

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released before August 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $25.08
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.17
Potential profit: $2.17
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.04
Potential profit: $2.04
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.96
Potential profit: $1.96
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Iraq?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.08

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.32

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.54

EDward Gaming position

Valorant: EDward Gaming vs BBL Esports - Map 1 Winner

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.41

Yes position

England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.15

Yes position

Portugal vs. DR Congo: Draw at halftime?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.74

NRG position

Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.71

Yes position

Portugal vs. Chile: Draw at halftime?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.19

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 DR Congo?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Yes position

Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Germany?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.69

Yes position

Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.53

Yes position

Will Syria win on 2026-06-09?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.33

Under position

Czechia vs. Mexico: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.12

Under position

Colombia vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.61

Yes position

Panama vs. Croatia: Draw at halftime?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

Yes position

Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Chile?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42

Yes position

Exact Score: Denmark 2 - 1 Ukraine?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41

Yes position

Exact Score: Panama 0 - 1 Croatia?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Austria vs. Jordan: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

No 20% 37.7 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Up 50% 2.2 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 16.7% 17.91 shares
Will GPT-5.6 not be released before August 2026?

Yes 3.9% 25.64 shares
Nico Williams: 1+ shots

Yes 6.9% 22.22 shares
Spain vs. Austria: Draw at halftime?

Yes 35% 2.85 shares
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?

Yes 18.3% 5.88 shares
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B

NRG 99.9% 5.71 shares
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B

NRG 35% 5.71 shares
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?

Yes 17% 5.88 shares
Nico Williams: 1+ shots

Yes 4.5% 22.22 shares
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?

Yes 17.3% 5.55 shares