Yes position
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.63
- Potential profit
- $29.63
- User PnL
- -$8
Polymarket Trader
lIlIlIl
0x4dab4159b7ea315cfc0e1105709c5b7e686fbea9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $21.44
- Realized PnL
- -$30.24
- Win rate
- 36.8%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Weed rescheduled by December 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.9%
- Current value
- $9.26
- Potential payout
- $11.89
- Potential profit
- $2.63
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $7.21
- Potential payout
- $10.45
- Potential profit
- $3.24
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $4.97
- Potential payout
- $6.33
- Potential profit
- $1.36
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
Yes position
Fed rate cut in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Iran Nuke in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Israel military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Trump criminalizes desecrating the American flag before August?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.82
No position
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 48% 6.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 13?Yes 24.2% 8.26 shares
- Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?Yes 57% 3.51 shares
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to ScoreYes 49% 4.08 shares
- Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?Yes 27% 29.63 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 13?Yes 29.4% 23.22 shares
- Weed rescheduled by December 31?No 75.7% 11.89 shares
- Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes 79% 6.33 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?No 67% 10.45 shares
- Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No 51.1% 9.72 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No 51% 38.46 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No 52% 38.46 shares