Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.43K
- Potential profit
- $2.43K
- User PnL
- -$100
Polymarket Trader
avelgao
0x4dae83ead680233f2147e2bcac84f65eee4918b4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $45.82
- Realized PnL
- $3.61K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.33K
- Potential profit
- $2.33K
- User PnL
- -$300
Oh My God position
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.04K
- Potential profit
- $2.04K
- User PnL
- -$260
Invictus Gaming position
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.63K
- Potential profit
- $1.63K
- User PnL
- -$392.53
Yes position
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.58K
- Potential profit
- $1.58K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-11?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- User PnL
- -$49.21
Yes position
Will Solana reach $140 December 29-January 4?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.38K
- Potential profit
- $1.38K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.27K
- Potential profit
- $1.27K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 4?
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $840.34
- Potential profit
- $840.34
- User PnL
- -$200
Top Esports position
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $783.44
- Potential profit
- $783.44
- User PnL
- -$480
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 4?
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600.6
- Potential profit
- $600.6
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 8?
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-08?
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $425.54
- Potential profit
- $425.54
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $45.82
- Potential payout
- $398.46
- Potential profit
- $352.63
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$94.18
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 7?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $378.75
- Potential profit
- $378.75
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-01-09?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $371.22
- Potential profit
- $371.22
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $368.29
- Potential profit
- $368.29
- User PnL
- -$267.33
Yes position
Will Algeria win on 2026-01-10?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $336.67
- Potential profit
- $336.67
- User PnL
- -$101
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $322.58
- Potential profit
- $322.58
- User PnL
- -$200
JD Gaming position
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300.38
- Potential profit
- $300.38
- User PnL
- -$120
Over position
Mali vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.04
- Potential profit
- $299.04
- User PnL
- -$200
Ultra Prime position
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $277.78
- Potential profit
- $277.78
- User PnL
- -$100
Over position
Nigeria vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $246.15
- Potential profit
- $246.15
- User PnL
- -$160
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $211.44
- Potential profit
- $211.44
- User PnL
- -$180
Resolved Context
Closed positions
JD Gaming position
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $458.2
Yes position
Will Senegal vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $448.76
Yes position
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-14?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280
Yes position
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-01-06?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.65
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.05
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 4?
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.72
Yes position
Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $150.81
Yes position
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-10?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-09?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.33
Yes position
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-09?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.34
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 4?
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.55
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 2?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.25
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $108.49
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 6?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.11
Invictus Gaming position
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
No position
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Burkina Faso: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.95
Team WE position
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.75
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 5?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.37
JD Gaming position
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 3 Winner
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.11
EDward Gaming position
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.75
Gentle Mates position
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs 9INE (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.92
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Yes 39% 73.87 shares
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerLGD Gaming 80% 2.5 shares
- LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerJD Gaming 80% 2.5 shares
- LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerJD Gaming 89% 5.62 shares
- LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerG2 Esports 93% 10.75 shares
- LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerBNK FEARX 7% 15.95 shares
- LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerBNK FEARX 94% 15.96 shares
- LoL: JD Gaming vs LOUD - Game 1 WinnerJD Gaming 83% 2.41 shares
- LoL: JD Gaming vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group BJD Gaming 96% 2.08 shares
- LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 2 WinnerGen.G 96% 10.42 shares
- LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 1 WinnerGen.G 91% 16.48 shares
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group ABilibili Gaming 99.8% 5.01 shares