Polymarket Trader

546H

0x4db05508d62ab96f102096b02014cff37674189d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $45.96
Realized PnL: $27.89
Win rate: 61.5%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on December 4?

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108
Potential profit: $108
User PnL: -$10.8

49ers position

Seahawks vs. 49ers

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.3
Potential profit: $78.3
User PnL: -$39.15

Yes position

Discord IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48.6%
Current value: $33.99
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $36.02
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$26.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.66
Potential profit: $19.66
User PnL: -$9.63

Yes position

Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $11.97
Potential payout: $11.97
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.65
Potential profit: $9.65
User PnL: -$4.23

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on December 15?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.5

Yes position

Will Algeria win on 2025-12-24?

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.5

Heat position

Bucks vs. Heat

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on December 4?

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.32

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. 49ers

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.7

No position

US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

No position

Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.57

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 9 above $50?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$8.52

No position

Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: -$20.22

No position

Will Algeria win on 2025-12-24?

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$23.73

Bucks position

Bucks vs. Heat

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$54.29

Up position

Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on December 15?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$57.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Down 49% 18.91 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Down 43.9% 9.5 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

No 96.2% 52.02 shares
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 98.7% 20,242.91 shares
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?

No 98.4% 76.52 shares
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Yes 98.3% 11.97 shares
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 98.8% 20,242.91 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

No 96.1% 52.03 shares
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?

No 84% 3.57 shares
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 9 above $50?

Yes 97.7% 395 shares
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 9 above $50?

Yes 99.9% 400.4 shares
Seahawks vs. 49ers

Seahawks 56% 78.3 shares