Polymarket Trader

0x4db22661508A334469B6AE035543bdB31be7448A-1771985677216

0x4db22661508a334469b6ae035543bdb31be7448a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $258.88
Realized PnL: $743.13
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $108.23
Potential payout: $248.81
Potential profit: $140.58
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $8.23

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 12.2%
Current value: $25.87
Potential payout: $212.94
Potential profit: $187.06
Multiplier: 8.23x
User PnL: $10.87

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 51.2%
Current value: $105.67
Potential payout: $206.39
Potential profit: $100.72
Multiplier: 1.95x
User PnL: $50.67

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.57
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $70.86
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$4.43

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.53
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.48
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$4.48

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.34
Potential payout: $32.26
Potential profit: $31.92
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$4.66

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $6.53
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $21.25
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$3.47

Yes position

Trump declares election interference national emergency?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $10.13
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $16.18
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $5.13

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $23.99
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$3.99

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $16.13
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.94

Yes position

Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.23

Yes position

Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.16

No position

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $74.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.77

No position

Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.5

Yes position

Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.77

Yes position

Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.74

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.61

Yes position

Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.56

Yes position

Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.47

Yes position

Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.69

Yes position

Will MrBeast hit 474 Million subscribers by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

Yes 40.2% 248.81 shares
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?

Yes 62% 16.13 shares
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

No 39.1% 1,739.45 shares
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Yes 8% 12.5 shares
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Yes 9% 11.11 shares
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Yes 9% 11.11 shares
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Yes 10% 10 shares
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 35.2% 141.9 shares
Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?

No 85.1% 311.9 shares
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?

Yes 99% 18.18 shares
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?

Yes 1% 100 shares
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?

Yes 14.1% 22.21 shares