Polymarket Trader

MechaHitlah

0x4dc2ce59c39f7ca8155c88e88a635f0034d60933

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.02K
Realized PnL: $24.78K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $6.06K
Potential payout: $6.69K
Potential profit: $635.74
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $579.9

No position

Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.86K
Potential profit: $5.86K
User PnL: -$5.33K

Yes position

Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.02K
Potential profit: $3.02K
User PnL: -$2.51K

No position

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $1.86K
Potential payout: $1.96K
Potential profit: $102.07
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $394.91

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $347.99
Potential profit: $347.99
User PnL: -$93.44

Yes position

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $47
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $153
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$37

Yes position

Will SpaceX have 14 or more launches in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $173.15
Potential profit: $173.15
User PnL: -$55.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $134.62
Potential profit: $134.62
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.02
Potential profit: $99.02
User PnL: -$4.83

No position

Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $55.57
Potential payout: $57.23
Potential profit: $1.66
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $7.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.6
Potential profit: $56.6
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $3.2
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $36.8
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$29.2

No position

Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.71
Potential profit: $13.71
User PnL: -$8.36

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Europa League Final: 3+ goals?

Ends May 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.21K

No position

Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.37K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $2.04K

Yes position

Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 50% and 52%?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54K

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51K

Rountree Jr. position

UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr.

Ends Jun 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11K

Yes position

Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win 3rd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $988.4

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $963.41

Yes position

Will "American Girls - Harry Styles" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $932.76

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $868.74

Yes position

Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 16% and 18% of votes in the first round?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $773.27

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $724.68

Yes position

Will Porto win Primeira Liga?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $724.46

No position

Monterrey vs. Inter Milan: 3+ Goals Scored?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $678.3

Grizzlies position

Grizzlies vs. Suns

Ends Feb 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $667.38

Yes position

Will André Ventura win between 22% and 24% of votes in the first round?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $580.54

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Suns

Ends Feb 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $546.81

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $429.72

Cavaliers position

Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers

Ends Feb 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $428.93

Yes position

Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $419.06

No position

Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-11?

Ends Feb 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $417.4

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win more than 22% of votes in the first round?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $412.25

Yes position

Will LDP win the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?

Ends Jul 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $395.21

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Up 52% 19.23 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Up 52% 57.69 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Up 52% 57.69 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Up 53% 56.6 shares
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?

No 75.6% 168.75 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 66% 299.99 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

No 48% 7,707.78 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

No 49% 1,366.42 shares
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

No 98.3% 144 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

No 59% 1,300 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

No 59% 400 shares
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Yes 99.6% 138.46 shares