Polymarket Trader

0x4dd83e7768353F3a2271cE4Ee16b596236189B58-1761955905851

0x4dd83e7768353f3a2271ce4ee16b596236189b58

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $286.69
Realized PnL: $6.97K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $70
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $19.93K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.94K
Potential profit: $15.94K
User PnL: -$99.9

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.38K
Potential profit: $2.38K
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.08K
Potential profit: $2.08K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $95.5
Potential payout: $1.93K
Potential profit: $1.83K
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.75K
Potential profit: $1.75K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $1.47K
User PnL: -$965.36

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $121.18
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.03K
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: $21.18

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$300

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $574.71
Potential profit: $574.71
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $565.45
Potential profit: $565.45
User PnL: -$441

Yes position

Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $453.16
Potential profit: $453.16
User PnL: -$415.57

No position

House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $434.78
Potential profit: $434.78
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will there be at least 600 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $351.17
Potential profit: $351.17
User PnL: -$300

No position

Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $238.81
Potential profit: $238.81
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $238
Potential profit: $238
User PnL: -$119

No position

Will Mexico win Miss Universe 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $220.79
Potential profit: $220.79
User PnL: -$173

Yes position

Will Colombia win Miss Universe 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $190.87
Potential profit: $190.87
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.57
Potential profit: $117.57
User PnL: -$89.73

Yes position

Will Chile win Miss Universe 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.66
Potential profit: $115.66
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.01K

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $361.44

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $352.66

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $343.5

No position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $239.63

Yes position

Will Franco Parisi endorse no candidate for President of Chile?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.32

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.76

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.96

No position

Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 9?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.67

Yes position

Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.62

No position

Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.18

Yes position

Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.01

No position

Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.11

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.57

Musetti position

Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Tomas Machac

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.19

No position

Will Franco Parisi endorse José Antonio Kast for President of Chile?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.56

No position

Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.46

Yes position

Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.44

No position

Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.23

Yes position

Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.64

No position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.55

No position

Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.73

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.15

No position

Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.54

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes 5.2% 1,929.37 shares
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes 8.7% 1,148.65 shares
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes 0.5% 20,000 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 25.5% 418.41 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 61.6% 942.8 shares
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev

Jannik Sinner 76% 123.72 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.8% 520.83 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 61.5% 942.81 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 23.9% 418.41 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.2% 520.83 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.8% 2,083.33 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.7% 1,754.39 shares